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Three NFL Teams Whose Win Totals Don't Make Sense

                                        Three NFL Teams Whose Win Totals Don’t Make Sense

Cleveland Browns- O/U 6.5 Wins

The Browns ended last season with five wins, and Vegas believes Cleveland is going to up that total to seven in 2026. Unless you've been living under a rock, you know that the Browns dealt their former first overall pick and DPOY, Myles Garrett, to the Los Angeles Rams, which will clearly be a big blow to their defense.

But the defense is not even the real issue, the QB position is. With Deshaun Watson back from injury and both Shedeur Sanders and Dillon Gabriel heading into their second seasons, it's still uncertain who's going to be under center come Week 1.

The imminent offensive inconsistency and massive shakeup on defense is going to be too much to overcome for a first-time head coach in Todd Monken. I’d take the under on 6.5 wins for the Brownies.

(Image via Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty)

Denver Broncos- O/U 9.5 Wins

Coming off a 14-win season and an AFC Championship appearance, you'd think the Broncos' win total would be at least in the double digits. Yet just about every sportsbook has Denver at 9.5 wins. Looking through the Broncos' offseason, their two biggest losses in free agency were safety P.J. Locke and linebacker Dre Greenlaw. While they're both solid players, Denver is still bringing back a majority of a top-two defense that led the league in sacks last season.

The biggest question mark for the Broncos is the right ankle fracture suffered by QB Bo Nix in last year's playoffs. But with multiple sources reporting Nix should be good to go by training camp, I don't see the concern, especially when you consider Nix finished that playoff game on one ankle and didn't look hobbled in the least bit. Not to mention the fact that his job got a little easier with the acquisition of Jaylen Waddle, who will look to be the Broncos' new number-one target.

If Nix can stay healthy, I don't see a reason the Broncos can't have a repeat of last year, which would easily clear the over 9.5-win line.

(Image via @NixForSix on X)


 New York Jets- O/U 5.5 Wins

The New York Jets had one of the most interesting offseasons of any team in the NFL this year, but that's not necessarily a good thing. While they got better on defense by adding a number of players, headlined by Minkah Fitzpatrick and T'Vondre Sweat, their offense, similar to the Browns', is an absolute mess.

Back in March, New York traded for Geno Smith, who is coming off one of the worst seasons of his entire career. On a team that hasn't had a consistent QB since Mark Sanchez, this move truly boggles my mind. 

Geno doesn't bring much help to the fourth-worst offense in the sport last year, and I don't think rookie Cade Klubnik, who will eventually get playing time, will either. Not to mention the fact that their "defensive” coach, Aaron Glenn, led a team that didn't intercept a single pass last year and is already on one of the hottest seats in the league after just one year.

With the 12th-hardest schedule in the league, the Jets will have to play the Bills and Patriots twice, as well as the entire NFC North. They just don't have what it takes to compete in their own division, let alone the AFC. Spoiler alert: In my blog coming later this summer, I'll have them at the bottom of the NFL standings.

New York won just three games last year, and things don’t seem to be looking up; give me the under 5.5 wins for Gang Green. 

(Image via Bill Kostroun- AP)



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